Shahrdari Astara 1-4 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 11 Mar 2025

Shahrdari Astara
1-4 HT 0-1
Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
📅11/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2024/2025

Shahrdari Astara vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.88
6+ Goals
5%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+6.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-10.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.2pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shahrdari Astara v Mes Shahr-e Babak FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shahrdari Astara EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Shahr-e Babak FC EU Bookmakers 62%
+14% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.78/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+3% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
222 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Shahrdari Astara vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shahrdari Astara
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
23.10.2024 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara IRANAZ
05.12.2023 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
18.01.2023 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
27.08.2022 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara IRANAZ
02.06.2022 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara 1-1 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
28.01.2022 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Shahrdari Astara vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC ran out comfortable winners over Shahrdari Astara 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mes Shahr-e Babak FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mes Shahr-e Babak FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Shahrdari Astara and 0.67 for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC.

What was the final score of Shahrdari Astara vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC?

Shahrdari Astara 1-4 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC in the Iran - Azadegan League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shahrdari Astara vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mes Shahr-e Babak FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Shahrdari Astara 23%, draw 29%, Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 49%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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