Saipa 1-1 Besat Kermanshah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
19%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.94
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
11%
5.99
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.6pp
36%
Draw
30%
+6.1pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-5.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.0pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saipa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Besat Kermanshah EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.10/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.03
-2% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 192 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saipa
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Besat Kermanshah
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
23.10.2024 Besat Kermanshah 0-0 HT 0-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Saipa vs Besat Kermanshah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saipa and Besat Kermanshah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Saipa at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Saipa vs Besat Kermanshah?

Saipa 1-1 Besat Kermanshah in the Iran - Azadegan League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saipa vs Besat Kermanshah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saipa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Saipa 46%, draw 36%, Besat Kermanshah 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Saipa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saipa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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