Mes Kerman 1-2 Fajr Sepasi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
39%
2.83
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.45
Over 2.5
29%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.98
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
14%
5.81
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
29%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-5.1pp
39%
Draw
32%
+6.7pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.5pp
71%
Under 2.5
65%
+5.5pp
29%
Over 2.5
35%
-5.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Kerman EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 37%
+16% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.43/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.56
+49% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Kerman
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Fajr Sepasi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
23.10.2024 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman IRANAZ
05.03.2024 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman IRANAZ
02.10.2023 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 0-1 HT 0-0 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Mes Kerman vs Fajr Sepasi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fajr Sepasi nicked a narrow win over Mes Kerman 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 39% / 32%) promised a tight game; Fajr Sepasi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fajr Sepasi led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Mes Kerman and 0.33 for Fajr Sepasi.

What was the final score of Mes Kerman vs Fajr Sepasi?

Mes Kerman 1-2 Fajr Sepasi in the Iran - Azadegan League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Kerman vs Fajr Sepasi?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mes Kerman 29%, draw 39%, Fajr Sepasi 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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