Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 MIO Biwako Shiga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.18
6+ Goals
8%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY MIO Biwako Shiga EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
2-1
AWAY MIO Biwako Shiga
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs MIO Biwako Shiga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi edged past MIO Biwako Shiga 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Renofa Yamaguchi as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 58% of the ball to MIO Biwako Shiga's 42%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs MIO Biwako Shiga?

Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 MIO Biwako Shiga in the JAP2-3 on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs MIO Biwako Shiga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 57%, draw 24%, MIO Biwako Shiga 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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