Tochigi SC 1-2 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
240 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.07.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
03.03.2024 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-3 HT 1-3 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
08.10.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-0 HT 1-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
12.04.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-1 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
02.07.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-2 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
04.05.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-2 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
1-2
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
248 Passes 383
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata nicked a narrow win over Tochigi SC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Montedio Yamagata as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 41% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 59%, shots finished 17-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tochigi SC and 1.50 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Montedio Yamagata?

Tochigi SC 1-2 Montedio Yamagata in the JAP2-3 on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 33%, draw 26%, Montedio Yamagata 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montedio Yamagata), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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