Tokushima Vortis 4-0 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.57
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
15%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.1pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
233 Passes 646
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2022 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-2 HT 0-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
04.06.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-1 HT 1-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
25.10.2020 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
19.09.2020 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-1 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
23.08.2014 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-2 HT 1-2 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP
26.04.2014 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-2 HT 0-2 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
4-0
AWAY Albirex Niigata
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis ran out comfortable winners over Albirex Niigata 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tokushima Vortis as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 38% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 62%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 1.00 for Albirex Niigata.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Albirex Niigata?

Tokushima Vortis 4-0 Albirex Niigata in the JAP2-3 on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 48%, draw 24%, Albirex Niigata 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokushima Vortis), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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