Montedio Yamagata 1-0 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 26%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.43/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.25
-8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Tochigi SC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2024 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-3 HT 1-3 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
08.10.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-0 HT 1-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
12.04.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-1 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
02.07.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-2 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
04.05.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-2 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
31.10.2021 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-2 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
1-0
AWAY Tochigi SC
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata edged past Tochigi SC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Montedio Yamagata as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 50% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 50%, shots finished 19-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 1.17 for Tochigi SC.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi SC?

Montedio Yamagata 1-0 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J2 League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 49%, draw 25%, Tochigi SC 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montedio Yamagata), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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