Iwaki 0-1 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 29%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.25/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.22
-20% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Oita Trinita
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-2 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
22.07.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-2 HT 0-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
08.04.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 1-3 HT 0-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
0-1
AWAY Oita Trinita
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oita Trinita squeezed past Iwaki 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Iwaki at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Iwaki had 44% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 56%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Iwaki had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Iwaki and 1.33 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Oita Trinita?

Iwaki 0-1 Oita Trinita in the Japan - J2 League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 42%, draw 26%, Oita Trinita 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Iwaki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Iwaki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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