Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
19.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 34% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.49/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.34
+16% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fagiano Okayama
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
287 Passes 349
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-4 HT 1-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
09.09.2023 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-0 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
16.04.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-1 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
25.09.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 3-0 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
2-0
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fagiano Okayama vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama got the better of Vegalta Sendai 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fagiano Okayama as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 43% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 57%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fagiano Okayama had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 0.50 for Vegalta Sendai.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Vegalta Sendai?

Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Vegalta Sendai in the Japan - J2 League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 43%, draw 26%, Vegalta Sendai 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fagiano Okayama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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