Shimizu S-Pulse 2-0 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
12.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 34%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -10%
1.53/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.14
+19% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
445 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
3W-2D-1L
AWAY JEF United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.03.2024 JEF United JEF United 1-3 HT 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
16.07.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 HT 1-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
17.05.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
25.07.2009 JEF United JEF United 1-2 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
03.06.2009 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JLK
05.05.2009 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
2-0
AWAY JEF United
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse beat JEF United 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shimizu S-Pulse as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 39% of the ball to JEF United's 61%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.33 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United?

Shimizu S-Pulse 2-0 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 41%, draw 25%, JEF United 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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