Fujieda MYFC 3-1 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.85
6+ Goals
11%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 29% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.47/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.20
+14% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fujieda MYFC
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-3 HT 1-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
28.10.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
16.04.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-4 HT 0-2 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fujieda MYFC
3-1
AWAY Mito HollyHock
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 13
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fujieda MYFC vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fujieda MYFC beat Mito HollyHock 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Fujieda MYFC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fujieda MYFC had 48% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 52%, shots finished 12-19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fujieda MYFC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Fujieda MYFC and 1.00 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Fujieda MYFC vs Mito HollyHock?

Fujieda MYFC 3-1 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J2 League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fujieda MYFC vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fujieda MYFC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fujieda MYFC 40%, draw 28%, Mito HollyHock 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fujieda MYFC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fujieda MYFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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