Ventforet Kofu 1-3 Tokushima Vortis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
10%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.27/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.99
-2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
442 Passes 366
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-5 HT 0-2 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
22.07.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-2 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
25.02.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 1-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
03.09.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-0 HT 2-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
25.05.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 0-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
17.10.2020 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-1 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1-3
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs Tokushima Vortis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis got the better of Ventforet Kofu 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Tokushima Vortis found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 59% of the ball to Tokushima Vortis's 41%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 1.00 for Tokushima Vortis.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs Tokushima Vortis?

Ventforet Kofu 1-3 Tokushima Vortis in the Japan - J2 League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs Tokushima Vortis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 40%, draw 29%, Tokushima Vortis 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ventforet Kofu), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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