Vegalta Sendai 1-4 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.56
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.02/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.90
-22% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vegalta Sendai
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
349 Passes 287
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-0 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
16.04.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-1 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
25.09.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 3-0 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
1-4
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama ran out comfortable winners over Vegalta Sendai 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Fagiano Okayama found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 67% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 33%, shots finished 23-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fagiano Okayama led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Vegalta Sendai and 1.67 for Fagiano Okayama.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs Fagiano Okayama?

Vegalta Sendai 1-4 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J2 League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 37%, draw 31%, Fagiano Okayama 32%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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