Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.6
6+ Goals
11%
14.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.6 — our 25% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.25/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.28
-9% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
386 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 Passes 506
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-0 HT 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
28.05.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-3 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
06.11.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 HT 1-2 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
10.07.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
27.02.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-3 HT 0-2 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
01.11.2014 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-3 HT 0-3 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
0-1
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata nicked a narrow win over Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Montedio Yamagata made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 51% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 49%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 2.17 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs Montedio Yamagata?

Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 40%, draw 27%, Montedio Yamagata 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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