Oita Trinita 0-2 Iwaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.91
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.01
6+ Goals
8%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 30% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Iwaki EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.10/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.36
-2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oita Trinita
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Iwaki
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-2 HT 0-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
08.04.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 1-3 HT 0-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oita Trinita
0-2
AWAY Iwaki
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Oita Trinita vs Iwaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki beat Oita Trinita 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Iwaki made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Oita Trinita had 42% of the ball to Iwaki's 58%, shots finished 5-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Oita Trinita and 1.50 for Iwaki.

What was the final score of Oita Trinita vs Iwaki?

Oita Trinita 0-2 Iwaki in the Japan - J2 League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oita Trinita vs Iwaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Oita Trinita 34%, draw 26%, Iwaki 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iwaki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Iwaki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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