Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.33
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.8pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.32/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.30
+0% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 493 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
176 Passes 465
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.09.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 HT 1-2 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
07.06.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JPK
28.05.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-1 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
20.08.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
01.06.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-2 HT 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JPK
23.04.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 3-2 HT 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
1-2
AWAY Mito HollyHock
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock edged past Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Renofa Yamaguchi at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 59% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 41%, shots finished 19-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.17 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs Mito HollyHock?

Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J2 League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 42%, draw 31%, Mito HollyHock 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✗ Under 2.5
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