V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 Yokohama FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 21 Apr 2024

V-Varen Nagasaki
1-0 HT 1-0
Yokohama FC
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Yokohama FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.23
6+ Goals
10%
20.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

V-Varen Nagasaki v Yokohama FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama FC EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +24%
1.27/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.82
+5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +37%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
214 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Yokohama FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Yokohama FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
504 Passes 485
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
24.09.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-2 HT 0-1 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
27.02.2022 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-0 HT 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
03.11.2019 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 2-0 HT 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
01.08.2015 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
19.04.2015 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 2-2 HT 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
19.09.2014 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2

V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 Yokohama FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
1-0
AWAY Yokohama FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH V-Varen Nagasaki vs Yokohama FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki edged past Yokohama FC 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; V-Varen Nagasaki found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 52% of the ball to Yokohama FC's 48%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.17 for Yokohama FC.

What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Yokohama FC?

V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 Yokohama FC in the Japan - J2 League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Yokohama FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yokohama FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 35%, draw 26%, Yokohama FC 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Yokohama FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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