JEF United 1-2 Blaublitz Akita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.51
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.71
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Blaublitz Akita EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.15/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.97
-16% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Blaublitz Akita
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
340 Passes 154
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.09.2023 JEF United JEF United 2-1 HT 1-1 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita JAP2
12.03.2023 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 1-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
08.10.2022 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 3-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
15.05.2022 JEF United JEF United 0-1 HT 0-0 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita JAP2
11.07.2021 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 1-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
14.03.2021 JEF United JEF United 0-2 HT 0-2 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
1-2
AWAY Blaublitz Akita
67% Ball Possession 33%
28 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Blaublitz Akita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blaublitz Akita nicked a narrow win over JEF United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was JEF United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, JEF United had 67% of the ball to Blaublitz Akita's 33%, shots finished 28-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blaublitz Akita led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for JEF United and 1.50 for Blaublitz Akita.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Blaublitz Akita?

JEF United 1-2 Blaublitz Akita in the Japan - J2 League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Blaublitz Akita?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split JEF United 43%, draw 27%, Blaublitz Akita 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✗ Under 2.5
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