Kagoshima United 2-1 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 21 Apr 2024

Kagoshima United
2-1 HT 1-0
Tochigi SC
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

Kagoshima United vs Tochigi SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.12
6+ Goals
8%
19.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 34% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kagoshima United v Tochigi SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 28%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.33
-35% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
464 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.5

Kagoshima United vs Tochigi SC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tochigi SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
The Meetings
22.09.2019 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 3-1 HT 2-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2

Kagoshima United 2-1 Tochigi SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
2-1
AWAY Tochigi SC
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United nicked a narrow win over Tochigi SC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kagoshima United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 41% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 59%, shots finished 11-15.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Tochigi SC?

Kagoshima United 2-1 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J2 League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 42%, draw 27%, Tochigi SC 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kagoshima United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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