Tochigi SC 1-3 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.84
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.8pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.04/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.06
-7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
405 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.10.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-0 HT 1-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
12.04.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-1 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
02.07.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-2 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
04.05.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-2 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
31.10.2021 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-2 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
21.03.2021 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-2 HT 1-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
1-3
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata beat Tochigi SC 3-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 32% / 39% — and on the day Montedio Yamagata made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 47% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 53%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tochigi SC and 1.33 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Montedio Yamagata?

Tochigi SC 1-3 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 29%, draw 32%, Montedio Yamagata 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
3 Mar 2024
07:00 Roasso Kumamoto vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma Analysis →
07:00 Renofa Yamaguchi vs Blaublitz Akita Analysis →
07:00 Iwaki vs Fagiano Okayama Analysis →