Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.6
6+ Goals
10%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 26%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.48/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.24
-3% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
452 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
2W-4D-0L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
661 Passes 235
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.07.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
03.05.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-0 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
08.10.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 5-1 HT 2-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
08.07.2015 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 HT 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
15.03.2015 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 HT 2-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
14.06.2014 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 HT 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
1-1
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roasso Kumamoto and ThespaKusatsu Gunma couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Roasso Kumamoto at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 56% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 44%, shots finished 19-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roasso Kumamoto had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.00 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J2 League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 43%, draw 27%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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