Iwaki 1-1 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
18.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +10%
1.09/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.89
-10% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
447 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 1-2 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
02.04.2023 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-1 HT 0-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
1-1
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki and Fagiano Okayama shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Iwaki had 59% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 41%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fagiano Okayama led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Iwaki and 1.50 for Fagiano Okayama.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Fagiano Okayama?

Iwaki 1-1 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J2 League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 35%, draw 26%, Fagiano Okayama 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fagiano Okayama), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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