CS Herediano 1-0 CS Cartagines — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.95
No
42%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
47%
+10.5pp
42%
BTTS No
53%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
1.58/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.44
+0% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CS Cartagines
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 1-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
11.09.2025 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 2-0 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
06.04.2025 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-1 HT 0-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
16.02.2025 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 0-1 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
06.10.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 0-2 HT 0-1 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
18.08.2024 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 3-1 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
1-0
AWAY CS Cartagines
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano edged past CS Cartagines 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CS Herediano as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CS Herediano had 46% of the ball to CS Cartagines's 54%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Cartagines led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CS Herediano and 1.50 for CS Cartagines.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines?

CS Herediano 1-0 CS Cartagines in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 48%, draw 26%, CS Cartagines 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
15 Feb 2026
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