Guadalupe vs San Carlos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalupe v San Carlos — Team-Based Signals
Guadalupe vs San Carlos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-1
San Carlos
KOSTA
2-0
HT 0-0
Guadalupe
KOSTA
2-1
HT 0-0
San Carlos
KOSTA
2-1
HT 1-0
Guadalupe
KOSTA
3-1
HT 1-0
San Carlos
KOSTA
Guadalupe 3-4 San Carlos — Actual Match Statistics
San Carlos squeezed past Guadalupe 4-3 away from home. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; San Carlos found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Guadalupe had 48% of the ball to San Carlos's 52%, shots finished 13-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Carlos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guadalupe and 1.67 for San Carlos.
What was the final score of Guadalupe vs San Carlos?
Guadalupe 3-4 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalupe vs San Carlos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalupe win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Guadalupe 37%, draw 27%, San Carlos 36%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guadalupe), Under 2.5 went the other way.