Györi ETO 1-0 Kisvarda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
8.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-0.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.4pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Györi ETO EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -4%
2.19/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.85
-12% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
38.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
23.6 Crosses 18.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Györi ETO
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kisvarda
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.59 xG 1.35
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
402 Passes 251
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Kisvarda Kisvarda 3-2 HT 1-2 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Györi ETO
1-0
AWAY Kisvarda
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Györi ETO vs Kisvarda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Györi ETO edged past Kisvarda 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Györi ETO as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Györi ETO had 57% of the ball to Kisvarda's 43%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Györi ETO vs Kisvarda?

Györi ETO 1-0 Kisvarda in the Hungary - NB I on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Györi ETO vs Kisvarda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Györi ETO win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Györi ETO 60%, draw 21%, Kisvarda 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Györi ETO) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Györi ETO) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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