Kisvarda 3-2 Györi ETO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
51%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.77
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 28% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
51%
Away Win
47%
+4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Györi ETO EU Bookmakers 51%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.35/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.08/0.67
-13% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
26.3 Crosses 22.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kisvarda
3-2
AWAY Györi ETO
1.35 xG 1.59
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
251 Passes 402
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kisvarda vs Györi ETO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kisvarda edged past Györi ETO 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Györi ETO at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kisvarda had 42% of the ball to Györi ETO's 58%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.35 to 1.59.

What was the final score of Kisvarda vs Györi ETO?

Kisvarda 3-2 Györi ETO in the Hungary - NB I on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kisvarda vs Györi ETO?

Before kick-off our model rated an Györi ETO win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kisvarda 27%, draw 22%, Györi ETO 51%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Györi ETO) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Györi ETO) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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