Debrecen 5-2 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
9.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+5.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.7pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.33/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.71
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
18.4 Crosses 15.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ujpest
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.48 xG 1.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
314 Passes 303
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Ujpest Ujpest 2-1 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
08.12.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 0-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
23.08.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 3-0 HT 2-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
27.04.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
06.02.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
30.09.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
5-2
AWAY Ujpest
2.35 xG 2.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
22 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
325 Passes 366
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen cruised past Ujpest 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ujpest at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Debrecen had 47% of the ball to Ujpest's 53%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 2.35 to 2.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ujpest led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Debrecen and 1.67 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Ujpest?

Debrecen 5-2 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 33%, draw 25%, Ujpest 43%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ujpest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ujpest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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