Debrecen 1-2 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 8 Dec 2024

Debrecen
1-2 HT 0-1
Ujpest
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2024/2025

Debrecen vs Ujpest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.63
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
11.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.21 — our 28% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Debrecen v Ujpest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.26/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.84
-8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
16.2 Crosses 15.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Debrecen vs Ujpest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ujpest
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.77 xG 1.45
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
330 Passes 301
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.08.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 3-0 HT 2-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
27.04.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
06.02.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
30.09.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
05.03.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 1-1 HT 1-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
16.10.2022 Debrecen Debrecen 4-1 HT 1-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC

Debrecen 1-2 Ujpest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
1-2
AWAY Ujpest
1.14 xG 1.35
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
231 Passes 349
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest nicked a narrow win over Debrecen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Ujpest found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Debrecen had 43% of the ball to Ujpest's 57%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 1.14 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Debrecen and 1.33 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Ujpest?

Debrecen 1-2 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 41%, draw 22%, Ujpest 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Debrecen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Debrecen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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