Debrecen vs Ujpest Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Debrecen v Ujpest — Team-Based Signals
Debrecen vs Ujpest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Ujpest
MAC
1-1
HT 1-1
Debrecen
MAC
4-1
HT 1-1
Ujpest
MAC
1-2
HT 0-2
Ujpest
MAC
3-1
HT 1-1
Debrecen
MAC
Debrecen 1-0 Ujpest — Actual Match Statistics
Debrecen edged past Ujpest 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Debrecen as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Debrecen had 65% of the ball to Ujpest's 35%, shots finished 29-2, expected goals 3.85 to 0.05 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Debrecen's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ujpest led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Debrecen and 1.67 for Ujpest.
What was the final score of Debrecen vs Ujpest?
Debrecen 1-0 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Ujpest?
Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 48%, draw 25%, Ujpest 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Debrecen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.