Ujpest 3-0 Debrecen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.12
6+ Goals
13%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Debrecen EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
1.88/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.66
+19% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 82%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
17.2 Crosses 15.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Debrecen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.09 xG 2.10
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
325 Passes 325
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
06.02.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
30.09.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
05.03.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 1-1 HT 1-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
16.10.2022 Debrecen Debrecen 4-1 HT 1-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
12.03.2022 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 0-2 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
3-0
AWAY Debrecen
2.55 xG 0.78
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 5
228 Passes 348
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Debrecen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest ran out comfortable winners over Debrecen 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ujpest as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ujpest had 42% of the ball to Debrecen's 58%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 2.55 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ujpest and 1.67 for Debrecen.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Debrecen?

Ujpest 3-0 Debrecen in the Hungary - NB I on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Debrecen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 42%, draw 27%, Debrecen 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ujpest), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ujpest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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