Kalaa Sport 4-1 EGS Gafsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.4pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalaa Sport EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.40/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.05
+29% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalaa Sport
1W-0D-2L
AWAY EGS Gafsa
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2025 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 3-0 Kalaa Sport Kalaa Sport TUN2
26.04.2023 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 2-0 HT 1-0 Kalaa Sport Kalaa Sport TUN2
07.12.2022 Kalaa Sport Kalaa Sport 1-0 HT 0-0 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN2
POST-MATCH Kalaa Sport vs EGS Gafsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalaa Sport ran out comfortable winners over EGS Gafsa 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Kalaa Sport found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, EGS Gafsa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Kalaa Sport and 1.67 for EGS Gafsa.

What was the final score of Kalaa Sport vs EGS Gafsa?

Kalaa Sport 4-1 EGS Gafsa in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalaa Sport vs EGS Gafsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalaa Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kalaa Sport 37%, draw 33%, EGS Gafsa 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalaa Sport) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kalaa Sport) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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