EGS Gafsa 3-0 Kalaa Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.16
No
47%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+11.2pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalaa Sport EU Bookmakers 22%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
2.54/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.18
+75% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EGS Gafsa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kalaa Sport
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2023 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 2-0 HT 1-0 Kalaa Sport Kalaa Sport TUN2
07.12.2022 Kalaa Sport Kalaa Sport 1-0 HT 0-0 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN2
POST-MATCH EGS Gafsa vs Kalaa Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EGS Gafsa cruised past Kalaa Sport 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had EGS Gafsa as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for EGS Gafsa and 0.50 for Kalaa Sport.

What was the final score of EGS Gafsa vs Kalaa Sport?

EGS Gafsa 3-0 Kalaa Sport in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EGS Gafsa vs Kalaa Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a EGS Gafsa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split EGS Gafsa 49%, draw 30%, Kalaa Sport 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EGS Gafsa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (EGS Gafsa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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