AS Ariana 1-0 AS Djelma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
18%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.62
Over 2.5
54%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
50%
+5.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
18%
Away Win
23%
-4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
58%
-11.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
42%
+11.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.6pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Djelma EU Bookmakers 26%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.42/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.52
+84% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Ariana
1-0
AWAY AS Djelma
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH AS Ariana vs AS Djelma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Ariana squeezed past AS Djelma 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had AS Ariana as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, AS Ariana had 61% of the ball to AS Djelma's 39%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of AS Ariana vs AS Djelma?

AS Ariana 1-0 AS Djelma in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Ariana vs AS Djelma?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Ariana win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split AS Ariana 56%, draw 26%, AS Djelma 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Ariana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AS Ariana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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