EM Mahdia 0-1 Baath Bouhajla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.6pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Baath Bouhajla EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.18/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -40%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EM Mahdia
0-1
AWAY Baath Bouhajla
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH EM Mahdia vs Baath Bouhajla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baath Bouhajla edged past EM Mahdia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was EM Mahdia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, EM Mahdia had 49% of the ball to Baath Bouhajla's 51%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of EM Mahdia vs Baath Bouhajla?

EM Mahdia 0-1 Baath Bouhajla in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EM Mahdia vs Baath Bouhajla?

Before kick-off our model rated a EM Mahdia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split EM Mahdia 45%, draw 26%, Baath Bouhajla 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (EM Mahdia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (EM Mahdia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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