FC Schaffhausen 2-1 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.0
Draw
35%
3.18
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.17
6+ Goals
10%
20.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
-13.6pp
35%
Draw
28%
+6.8pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.87/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.03
-6% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
16.5 Crosses 16.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Schaffhausen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bellinzona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.72 xG 1.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 Passes 328
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.10.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
26.09.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 0-0 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
17.09.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSVK
05.05.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-1 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
12.02.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
25.11.2022 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 1-0 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Schaffhausen
2-1
AWAY Bellinzona
1.45 xG 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
341 Passes 254
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Schaffhausen vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Schaffhausen nicked a narrow win over Bellinzona 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 35% / 33% — and on the day FC Schaffhausen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Schaffhausen had 55% of the ball to Bellinzona's 45%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.45 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Schaffhausen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Schaffhausen and 0.67 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of FC Schaffhausen vs Bellinzona?

FC Schaffhausen 2-1 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Schaffhausen vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split FC Schaffhausen 33%, draw 35%, Bellinzona 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5
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