Sion 1-2 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 15 Mar 2024

Sion
1-2 HT 1-1
Thun
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.41
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 27% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sion EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.49/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.76
-19% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
24.5 Crosses 17.6
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sion
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Thun
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.82 xG 1.16
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 Passes 330
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2023 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 1-1 Sion Sion İSV2
25.09.2023 Sion Sion 2-3 HT 2-0 Thun Thun İSV2
30.05.2021 Sion Sion 2-3 HT 2-2 Thun Thun İSVP
27.05.2021 Thun Thun 1-4 HT 0-2 Sion Sion İSVP
25.07.2020 Sion Sion 1-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV
26.01.2020 Thun Thun 2-1 HT 2-0 Sion Sion İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sion
1-2
AWAY Thun
1.03 xG 0.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
363 Passes 345
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sion vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun edged past Sion 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sion at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sion had 52% of the ball to Thun's 48%, shots finished 4-6, expected goals 1.03 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sion and 1.83 for Thun.

What was the final score of Sion vs Thun?

Sion 1-2 Thun in the Switzerland Challenge League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sion vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sion win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sion 43%, draw 28%, Thun 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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