Rosario Central 1-1 Douglas Haig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 15 Mar 2024

Rosario Central
1-1 HT 1-1
Douglas Haig
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒01:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Cup – 2024

Rosario Central vs Douglas Haig Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.82
Over
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
38%
4-5
24%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Rosario Central win — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
58%
Home Win
69%
-11.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rosario Central v Douglas Haig — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Douglas Haig The Market 14%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.37/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/2.29
+13% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -18%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Douglas Haig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central and Douglas Haig shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Rosario Central carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Douglas Haig?

Rosario Central 1-1 Douglas Haig in the Argentina - Cup on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Douglas Haig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 58%, draw 24%, Douglas Haig 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rosario Central), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJK More Argentina - Cup
15 Mar 2024
23:00 Lanus vs El Porvenir Analysis →