Grazer AK 1-1 Lafnitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
12%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.73
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.15
X/1
20%
3.64
X/2
11%
13.8
X/X
10%
6.71
2/1
7%
21.25
2/2
9%
10.5
2/X
6%
18.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 18%
+16% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
2.11/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.70
+14% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 67%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
23.0 Crosses 9.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Lafnitz
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 4-1 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
23.04.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 2-3 HT 1-2 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
30.08.2022 Lafnitz Lafnitz 1-2 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AUK
27.08.2022 Grazer AK Grazer AK 3-1 HT 2-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
22.05.2022 Grazer AK Grazer AK 4-1 HT 2-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
21.11.2021 Lafnitz Lafnitz 1-4 HT 1-1 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
1-1
AWAY Lafnitz
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Lafnitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK and Lafnitz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Grazer AK at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Grazer AK had 51% of the ball to Lafnitz's 49%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grazer AK had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Grazer AK and 1.67 for Lafnitz.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Lafnitz?

Grazer AK 1-1 Lafnitz in the Austria - 1st Division on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Lafnitz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 52%, draw 22%, Lafnitz 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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