Ried vs FC Liefering Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ried v FC Liefering — Team-Based Signals
Ried vs FC Liefering Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Ried
AU2
2-2
HT 0-1
FC Liefering
AU2
0-1
HT 0-0
Ried
AU2
2-6
HT 2-1
Ried
AU2
3-0
HT 1-0
FC Liefering
AU2
1-0
HT 0-0
FC Liefering
AU2
Ried 3-2 FC Liefering — Actual Match Statistics
Ried nicked a narrow win over FC Liefering 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ried as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Ried had 53% of the ball to FC Liefering's 47%, shots finished 25-13, expected goals 3.42 to 1.20 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ried's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ried had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ried and 0.83 for FC Liefering.
What was the final score of Ried vs FC Liefering?
Ried 3-2 FC Liefering in the Austria - 1st Division on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ried vs FC Liefering?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ried 51%, draw 21%, FC Liefering 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.