Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cherno More Varna v CSKA 1948 Sofia — Team-Based Signals
Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Cherno More Varna
BUL1
1-1
HT 0-1
CSKA 1948 Sofia
BUL1
0-0
HT 0-0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
BUL1
Cherno More Varna 2-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Actual Match Statistics
Cherno More Varna squeezed past CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cherno More Varna as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Cherno More Varna had 55% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 45%, shots finished 14-8.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cherno More Varna and 0.67 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.
What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?
Cherno More Varna 2-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 51%, draw 25%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cherno More Varna) — while BTTS No went the other way.