PFC Beroe 2-2 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+1.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.6pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.85/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-36% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
22.09.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
2-2
AWAY Botev Vratsa
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe and Botev Vratsa couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was PFC Beroe at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 52% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 48%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Botev Vratsa?

PFC Beroe 2-2 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a PFC Beroe win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 53%, draw 23%, Botev Vratsa 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PFC Beroe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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