Saburtalo 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 48%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
0.89/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.07
-21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
330 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Saburtalo 0-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
29.09.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
01.06.2023 Saburtalo 2-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
21.04.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-3 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
29.10.2022 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 3-1 HT 1-1 Saburtalo GUR
26.08.2022 Saburtalo 1-2 HT 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
1-0
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Dinamo Tbilisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Tbilisi at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Saburtalo had 59% of the ball to Dinamo Tbilisi's 41%, shots finished 23-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Saburtalo and 1.83 for Dinamo Tbilisi.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Saburtalo 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 31%, draw 27%, Dinamo Tbilisi 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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