Samgurali 1-1 Kolkheti 1913 Poti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-27% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
1-1
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Samgurali vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samgurali and Kolkheti 1913 Poti shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Samgurali at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Samgurali had 59% of the ball to Kolkheti 1913 Poti's 41%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti?

Samgurali 1-1 Kolkheti 1913 Poti in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 45%, draw 27%, Kolkheti 1913 Poti 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Samgurali), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samgurali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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