Al Duhail SC 3-1 Al Shamal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.51
2-3 Goals
36%
2.01
4-5 Goals
29%
2.65
6+ Goals
17%
6.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.0pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.43/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.58
+11% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.3 Crosses 13.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Duhail SC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Shamal
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.50 xG 2.34
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
502 Passes 203
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
10.09.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KATYK
08.05.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 5-2 HT 4-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
23.01.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
09.02.2022 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 4-1 HT 2-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
25.10.2021 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Duhail SC
3-1
AWAY Al Shamal
2.58 xG 0.62
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
587 Passes 288
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Duhail SC vs Al Shamal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Duhail SC beat Al Shamal 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Duhail SC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Duhail SC had 64% of the ball to Al Shamal's 36%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 2.58 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Duhail SC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Duhail SC and 0.83 for Al Shamal.

What was the final score of Al Duhail SC vs Al Shamal?

Al Duhail SC 3-1 Al Shamal in the Qatar League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Duhail SC vs Al Shamal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Duhail SC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Duhail SC 48%, draw 25%, Al Shamal 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Duhail SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Duhail SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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