Al Sadd 4-2 Al Muaidar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.3
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
3.17
Over 2.5
71%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
7.86
2-3 Goals
38%
2.29
4-5 Goals
30%
2.4
6+ Goals
17%
4.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-9.0pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.8pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.2pp
29%
Under 2.5
28%
+1.2pp
71%
Over 2.5
72%
-1.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.1pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Muaidar EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.81/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.37
+33% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -39%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
440 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 79%
35.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
18.2 Crosses 12.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sadd
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Muaidar
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.15 xG 0.61
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
422 Passes 234
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 4
15 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
28.10.2023 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
23.03.2014 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar 1-4 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sadd
4-2
AWAY Al Muaidar
5.46 xG 2.11
69% Ball Possession 31%
28 Total Shots 11
14 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 2
477 Passes 147
87% Pass Accuracy 61%
53 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Sadd vs Al Muaidar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd beat Al Muaidar 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Al Sadd had 69% of the ball to Al Muaidar's 31%, shots finished 28-11, expected goals 5.46 to 2.11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Sadd had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Al Sadd and 0.50 for Al Muaidar.

What was the final score of Al Sadd vs Al Muaidar?

Al Sadd 4-2 Al Muaidar in the Qatar League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sadd vs Al Muaidar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Sadd 63%, draw 18%, Al Muaidar 19%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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