Leones Negros Udeg 0-0 Celaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 15 Mar 2024

Leones Negros Udeg
0-0 HT 0-0
Celaya
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Leones Negros Udeg vs Celaya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
31%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.64
Over 2.5
35%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.8pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-7.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
57%
+7.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
43%
-7.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.4pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leones Negros Udeg v Celaya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Celaya EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +24%
1.00/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.98
-22% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Leones Negros Udeg vs Celaya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Celaya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.11.2023 Celaya Celaya 0-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
06.05.2023 Celaya Celaya 1-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
03.05.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-3 HT 0-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
26.01.2023 Celaya Celaya 1-0 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
05.10.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-2 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
10.02.2022 Celaya Celaya 0-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Celaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg and Celaya fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 1.17 for Celaya.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Celaya?

Leones Negros Udeg 0-0 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Celaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 37%, draw 32%, Celaya 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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