Monarcas Morelia 0-1 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 36%
-16% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.13/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.36
-18% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monarcas Morelia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cancun FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
4 Corners 6
20.08.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
02.03.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
23.09.2022 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
19.02.2022 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 4-1 HT 2-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
14.10.2021 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
11.09.2020 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-3 HT 0-2 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
POST-MATCH Monarcas Morelia vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC edged past Monarcas Morelia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Cancun FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cancun FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 1.17 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Cancun FC?

Monarcas Morelia 0-1 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 35%, draw 29%, Cancun FC 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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