Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 Stal Mielec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 15 Mar 2024

Zaglebie Lubin
0-0 HT 0-0
Stal Mielec
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Zaglebie Lubin vs Stal Mielec Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.9
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.02
6+ Goals
11%
18.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 30% vs market 28.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.23
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.6
X/1
11%
3.8
X/2
11%
9.39
X/X
9%
4.66
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
11%
7.85
2/X
10%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zaglebie Lubin v Stal Mielec — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.45/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.47
+2% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
20.4 Crosses 14.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Zaglebie Lubin vs Stal Mielec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Stal Mielec
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.75 xG 2.35
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
319 Passes 337
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.09.2023 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 4-2 HT 2-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
19.05.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 HT 2-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
04.11.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 3-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
08.04.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 3-1 HT 0-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
18.10.2021 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 4-2 HT 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
18.04.2021 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 0-2 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL

Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 Stal Mielec — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
0-0
AWAY Stal Mielec
1.10 xG 0.41
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
470 Passes 449
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 5
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin vs Stal Mielec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin and Stal Mielec played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Zaglebie Lubin at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin had 51% of the ball to Stal Mielec's 49%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.10 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 2.00 for Stal Mielec.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Stal Mielec?

Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 Stal Mielec in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin vs Stal Mielec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Lubin win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin 45%, draw 26%, Stal Mielec 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin) ✓ Under 2.5
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