Al Quadisiya 1-3 Al Orubah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Quadisiya EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 22%
-17% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.39/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.62
-16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Quadisiya
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Orubah
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2023 Al Orubah Al Orubah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Quadisiya Al Quadisiya SUUD1
08.02.2023 Al Orubah Al Orubah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Quadisiya Al Quadisiya SUUD1
05.09.2022 Al Quadisiya Al Quadisiya 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD1
10.05.2022 Al Quadisiya Al Quadisiya 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD1
22.12.2021 Al Orubah Al Orubah 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Quadisiya Al Quadisiya SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Quadisiya
1-3
AWAY Al Orubah
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Quadisiya vs Al Orubah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Orubah beat Al Quadisiya 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Quadisiya at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Quadisiya had 61% of the ball to Al Orubah's 39%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Orubah led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Al Quadisiya and 1.00 for Al Orubah.

What was the final score of Al Quadisiya vs Al Orubah?

Al Quadisiya 1-3 Al Orubah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Quadisiya vs Al Orubah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Quadisiya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Quadisiya 49%, draw 27%, Al Orubah 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Quadisiya), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Quadisiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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