Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahli Jeddah v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Nassr Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-3
HT 3-1
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
1-1
HT 0-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
1-2
HT 0-0
Al Nassr
SUUD
1-2
HT 0-1
Al Nassr
SUUD
1-2
HT 1-1
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
1-2
HT 1-1
Al Nassr
SAKK
Al Ahli Jeddah 0-1 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics
Al Nassr edged past Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli Jeddah at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 40% of the ball to Al Nassr's 60%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 1.22 to 0.92.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 2.00 for Al Nassr.
What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Nassr?
Al Ahli Jeddah 0-1 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Nassr?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 42%, draw 25%, Al Nassr 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.